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### XLVI Riunione Scientifica

*(Roma, 20-22 giugno 2012)*

**ISBN 978-88-6129-882-8
Editore: CLEUP – Padova**

*Plenary Session*

C. Skinner

Handling measurement error in survey estimation using accuracy indicators

M. Breschi

Intregrating micro e macro data in historical demography

M. Vichi

Research advances and new challenges in Cluster Analysis

*Specialized Session*

**Business statistics: data producers and data users**

A. Pagano, D. Perrotta, S. Arsenis

Imputation and outlier detection in banking datasets

S. Coleman

Something for nothing?

F. Guelpa, G. Foresti, S. Trenti

Enterprise in a globalised context and public and private statistical setups

**Predictive Learning**

G. Frasso, P. Eilers

An innovative procedure for smoothing parameter selection

M. Aria, V. Cozza

Dynamic Classification Trees for imprecise data

S. Amodio, J. Meulman

Generalized boosted additive models

**Recent developments in bayesian statistics**

C. Carota, M. Filippone, R. Leombruni, S. Polettini

Disclosure risk estimation via nonparametric log-linear models

C. Agostinelli, L. Greco

Weighted likelihood in Bayesian inference

E. Moreno, J. Giron, G. Casella, L. Martinez, F. Vazquez-Polo, M. Martel

On consistency of Bayesian variable selection procedures

**Time series models for financial volatility**

M. Caporin, E. Rossi, P. Santucci De Magistris

Estimating jumps in volatility using realized-range measures

F. Cipollini, G. M. Gallo

On the Extraction of a Common Persistent Component from Several Volatility Indicators

J. V. K. Rombouts, L. Stentoft, F. Violante

The Value of Model Sophistication: DJIA Option Pricing

**Session organized by the Societe’ Francaise de Statistique**

V. Rivoirard

Nonparametric estimation of the division rate of a size-structured population

L. Bel

Conditional simulations for spatial max-stable processes for climate applications

J. M. Poggi

PM10 forecasting using mixture linear regression models

**Spatial and Spatio-temporal Statistics**

P. Delicado, S. Broner

LISA map based on distances for functional data

M.D. Ugarte, T. Goicoa, J. E. Etxeberria, A.F. Militino

Smoothing mortality risks in space and time using flexible models

J. M. Angulo, A. E. Madrid

Geometrical approaches to the analysis of theshold exceedances

**Recent developments in mixture modeling**

A. Maruotti, F. Martella

Clustering Multivariate Longitudinal Data: Hidden Markov of Factor Analyzers

C. Viroli

Model based clustering of multivariate spatio-temporal data: a matrix-variate approach

A. Spagnoli, M. Alfo’

Random coefficient based dropout models: a finite mixture approach

**Families in Italy: the Quiet Revolution**

S. Salvini, G. De Santis G. Fattore

The impact of the three crises on health in Italy: evidence and lack of adequate information systems

T. Sobotka

Economic recession and fertility in the developed world: Past evidence and recent trends

**New perspectives in constructing and managing social indicators**

J.W. Owsinski

On Dividing an Empirical Distribution into Optimal Segments

M. Fattore

Non-aggregative assessment of subjective well-being

S. Tarantola, E. Giachin Ricca

A composite indicator of sustainable well-being: the relative importance of weights in the European Strategy for Sustainable Development

**Statistics for high-dimensional and functional data**

D. Pigoli

Distance – Based Statistics for Covariance Operators in Functional Data Analysis

A. Canale, D.B. Dunson

A Bayesian nonparametric model for count functional data

G. Minas, J.A.D. Aston, T.E. Nichols, N. Stallard

ROI analysis of pharmafMRI data: an adaptive approach for global testing

**Session organized by the Sociedade Portuguesa de Estatìstica**

B. De Sousa, D. Gomes, P.A. Filipe, C. Areias, T. Briz, C. Nunes

STAR modeling of pulmonary tubercolosis delay-time in diagnosis

L. Goncalves, A. Subtil, N. Brites, M.R. De Oliveira, A.M. Alho, J. Meireles, L.M. Madeira De Carvalho, S. Belo

Bayesian Latent Class Models in Veterinary and Human Epidemiology

A.C. Braga, L. Costa, P. Oliveira

ROC Curves in medical decision

**Monitoring the crisis: official statistics for timely decision making**

G. L. Mazzi, F. Moauro, R. Ruggeri Cannata

A statistical overview of the economic situation in the euro area

F. Bacchini et al.

The Italian Statistical Institute Macroeconometric Model – MEMo-It

G. De Blasio, M. Sorcioni

Employment outcomes of short-time work scheme and unemployment insurance program beneficiaries: a longitudinal approach

**Advances in sampling design and estimation**

R. Lehtonen, A. Veijanen

Recent Advances in Estimation of Poverty Indicators for Domains and Small Areas

L. Fattorini

Forest Inventories: Multi-Phase Sampling Strategies for Estimating Forest and Non-Forest Resources Over Large Areas

P. D. Falorsi, P. Righi

A Unified Approach for Defining Optimal Multivariate and Multi-Domains Sampling Designs

**Recent advances in causal inference**

S. Vansteelandt

Dealing with complex problems of confounding in mediation analysis

F. Li, A. Mattei, F. Mealli

Bayesian inference for causal effects in randomized experiments with noncompliance: The role of multivariate outcomes

**Contemporary methods of robust statistics**

G. Frahm

M-Estimation of Shape Matrices under Incomplete and Serially Dependent Data

R. Dyckerhoff

Convergence of Depths and Depth-Trimmed Regions

K. Nordhausen

On Robustifying Some Blind Source Separation Methods for Second Order Nonstationary Data

**Session organized by the Societe’ Francaise de Statistique**

V. Rivoirard

Nonparametric estimation of the division rate of a size-structured population

L. Bel

Conditional simulations for spatial max-stable processes for climate applications

J. M. Poggi

PM10 forecasting using mixture linear regression models

**Spatial analysis**

F. Lagona

A von Mises Markov random field model for the analysis of spatial circular data

L. M. Sangalli, J. O. Ramsay

A novel method for spatial smoothing

L. Azzimonti, M. Domanin, L. M. Sangalli, P. Secchi

PDE penalization for spatial fields smoothing

B. Ettinger, S. Perotto, L.M. Sangalli

Spatial smoothing over non-planar domains

**Estimation and imputation in surveys**

F. Del Greco, C. Pattaro, C. Minelli, P.P. Pramstaller, J. R. Thompson

A multiple imputation procedure of censored values in family-based genetic association studies

S. Jolani, S. Van Buuren, L. E. Frank

Combining the complete-data and nonresponse models for drawing imputations under MAR

M. Scarno’, B. Canolli, S. Muriqi, H. Ferizi

Data imputation processes based on statistical analysis

**Statistical methods for financial data**

A. Amendola, G. Storti

A comparison of different procedures for combining high-dimensional multivariate volatility forecasts

A. F. Pierini, A. Naccarato

A Multivariate VEC-BEKK Model for Portfolio Selection

A.M. Fiori, D. Beltrami

Asymptotic estimation of right and left kurtosis measures, with applications to finance

**Well-being and poverty**

A. Giovagnoli

Social welfare orderings of the Generalized-Lorenz Type: applications of an extended equivalence theorem

I. Santini, A. De Pascale

Social capital and its impact on poverty reduction: measurement issues in logitudinal and cross-country comparisons. The case of UE

C. Ferrara, F. Martella, M. Vichi

Dimension of well being and their statistical measurements

- Estimation in sample surveys

I. Rocchetti, D. Bohning, M. Alfo’

Regression estimators for capure-recapture frequency data

C. De Vitis, S. Falorsi, F. Inglese, M. Russo

Estimating the Homeless Population through Indirect Sampling and Weight Sharing Method

G. E. Montanari, G. Cicchitelli

On the Design Based Inference for Continuous Spatial Populations

F. Inglese, T. Tuoto

Ensuring comparability over time and between domains by means of complex sample techniques

- Bayesian inference

B. Liseo, A. Parisi

Bayesian inference for the multivariate skew-normal model: a Population Monte Carlo approach

L. Bisaglia, A. Canale

Bayesian nonparametric predictions for count time series

P. Brutti, F. De Santis, S. Gubbiotti

On a predictive measure of discrepancy between classical and Bayesian estimators

- Biometrical studies

M. Cannas, E. Sironi

Variation in Obstetric Intervention Rates across Hospitals in Sardinia

F. Ieva, A. M. Paganoni

Depth measures for the study of real and simulated ECG signals

M. Marchi, S. Del Sarto, G. Rossi

A Simple Risk-Adjusted CUSUM chart for monitoring binary health data

C. Furlan, C. Mortarino

Sensitivity analysis on a Cellular Automata model for the diffusion of Pleural Mesothelioma

**Methods for economic issues**

E. Raffinetti

Ordinal Lorenz Regression with Application in Customer Satisfaction Surveys

J. Juriova

Neural Network Approach Applied for Classification in Business and Trade Statistics

M. Klucik

Estimates of Foreign Trade Using Genetic Programming

S. Auci, A. Castelli, D. Vignani

Stochastic Frontiers Approach: an Empirical Analysis of Italian Environmental Spending

**Migration and integration**

B. Cassani, C. Giudici, R. Rizzi

Immigrant entrepreneurship through the economic crisis in Italy

P. Di Giulio, C. Reynaud, L. Vergaglia

How internal and international migrations shape the age structure of the Italian regions, 1955-2008

A. Paggiaro

Matching immigrant and native workers: evidence from the recent downturn in Italy

A. Scagni

Migrant students classroom allocation policy in Italian schools

**Multilevel and latent variable models**

M. Manisera, M. Vezzoli

Multilevel algorithmic models to measure item importance on latent variables’ indicators

I. Romeo, M. Raffinetti

School tracking and equality of opportunity in a multilevel perspective

S. Bacci, F. Bartolucci, L. Pieroni

Causal analysis of education and birth inequalities through a latent class SEM

B. Arpino, F. Billari, M. Cannas

Machine learning techniques for Propensity score matching with clustered data. A simulation study.

**Index numbers**

M. Mazziotta, A. Pareto

A Well-being Index Based on the Weighted Product Method

A. Gardini, E. Foscolo

Timely Indices for Residential Construction Sector

M. Maltagliati, G. De Santis

Equivalence scales, inflation, and PPP: a unique (and simple) approach to estimation

G. D’Epifanio

Indexing the Worthiness of Social Agents

**Statistics and Environment**

S. Arima, A. Basset, G. Jona Lasinio, A. Pollice, I. Rosati

A hierarchical bayesian model for modelling benthic macroinvertebrates densities in lagoons

C. Pisani, L. Fattorini

A Critical Look at Compositional Analysis for Assessing Habitat Selection

I. A. Sciascia, M. Garbarino, G. Vacchiano, R. Motta

Comparing model-assisted estimators of structural variables in forest surveys

**Methods and applications in educational statistics**

B. Cafarelli

An Evaluation of the Student Satisfaction based on CUB Models

C. Ceccatelli, T. Di Battista, F. Fortuna

Burnout, learning and self-esteem at school: an empirical study.

D.F. Iezzi, M. Mastrangelo, S. Sarlo

International Mobility of University Students: the Italian case

D. Contini, E. Grand

Estimating student learning value-added models from repeated cross-sections

**Demographic methods and models**

S. Mazzucco, F. Ongaro, S. Meggiolaro

Family resources and cognitive decline among elderly in Italy

A. Di Pino, M.G. Campolo, E.L. Rizzi

Life-Course Transitions, Market Work and Domestic Work of Italian Couples

G. Ferrari, G. Rosina, A. Sironi

The Decision Making Process of Leaving Home: A Longitudinal Analysis of Italian Women

M.R. Sebastiani

Dimension reduction for measuring the multidimensional demographic convergence

**Energy-related statistical analysis**

S. Auci, D. Vignani

Efficiency in the use of natural non-renewable resources from mining and quarrying in Italy. Time series analysis and Economy-wide Material Flows Accounts

A. Dalla Valle, C. Furlan

The diffusion of nuclear energy in the developing countries

G. Scandurra

Investments in Renewable energies: evidence from a panel of countries

**Survey methods and applications**

T. Tuoto, S. Bruzzone, LTowards an integrated. Valentino, G. Baldassarre, N. Cibella, M. Pappagallo

Towards an integrated surveillance system of road accidents

S. De Cantis, M. Ferrante

Border surveys and Time Location Sampling (TLS): an application on incoming tourism in Sicily

E. Macri’, C. Tessitore

Effective Facebook population: the Italian case

D. Toninelli, S. Biffignandi

Impact of Audio Tools in Web Surveys

**Inequality measures**

M. Mussini

An income mobility measure based on Zenga’s inequality index

F. Greselin, L. Pasquazzi, R. Zitikis

Capital income inequality: evidences from ECHP data

M. Zenga, L. Pasquazzi

Contributions from income components to Zenga’s point and synthetic inequality measures: an application to EU countries

**Statistical distributions**

A. Cerquetti

Some further results for the two-parameter Poisson-Dirichlet partition model

V. Mameli, M. Musio

Note on a new generalization of the skew-normal distribution

E. Melilli, P. Veronese

Fiducial Distributions for Real Exponential Families

G. Pallotta, B. Palumbo

New approach to the identification of the Inverse Weibull model

- Statistical methods and applications – I

L. Rivoli, R. Verde, A. Irpino

The median of a set of histogram data

S. Figini, C. Gigliarano, P. Muliere

Some results on stochastic comparisons of ROC curves

F. Palombi, S. Toti, R. Filippini

Reconstructing a multinormal covariance matrix from its spherically truncated projection

A. Pollastri, V. Tulli

Considerations about the Quotient of two Correlated Normals

**Business statistics and administrative data**

C. Baldi, F. Ceccato, S. Pacini, D. Tuzi

The Use of Administrative Data for Short Term Business Statistics: Lessons from a Cross-Country Experience

O. Luzi, G. Seri, V. De Giorgi, G. Siesto

Estimating Business Statistics from administrative data: a study on small and medium enterprises

P. Mariani

Data fusion in pharmaceutical marketing: new perspective from administrative data

S. Angiona, C. Carbonari, F. Paradisi

A Local Price Observatory – Price minimarket: innovations and additional knowledge about prices – The experience of Umbria

**Well-being and poverty – II**

A.M. Milito, A. Busetta, A.M. Olivieri

The analysis of the material deprivation of foreigners in Italy

A. Fusco, N. Islam

Modelling poverty transitions in Luxembourg: true state dependence or heterogeneity

L. Coppola, D. Di Laurea, D. Lo Castro, M. Spaziani

Poverty transitions in Italy

M. Jantti, E. Sierminska, P. Van Kerm

A model for the joint distribution of income and wealth

**Bayesian methods**

I. Pruenster, A. Lijoi, P. De Blasi

Large sample properties of Gibbs-type priors

M. Ruggiero

On the role of normalized inverse-Gaussian priors in continuous-time models

P. Vicard, J. Mortera

A decision support system for duopolies with incomplete information

M. Bernardi, L. Petrella

Parallel Adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo with applications

**Prices and price indices**

G. Serafini

Hedonic Indexes and GDP estimate in the USA

M.C. Bramati

Price transmission and market power in the food market

G. Passamani

Interpreting Deviations from Long-run Parity in an I(2) Model

P. Chirico

Deterministic or stochastic seasonality in daily electricity prices?

**Data dependence analysis**

E. Foscolo, F. Durante

Handling weak dependence structures with copulas

C. Lupi

False discovery rate control and the dependence structure of test statistics

C.G. Borroni, M. Cazzaro, P.M .Chiodini

Autocorrelated non-normal data in control charts

C. Conigliani, A. Tancredi

Predicting EQ-5D responses from SF-12: should we take into account dependece and ordering?

**Functional data analysis**

A. Pini, S. Vantini

Testing Phase and Amplitude Variability in Functional Data Analysis: a Hierarchical Permutation Test Approach

S. Vantini

A Topological Definition of Phase and Amplitude Variability of Functional Data

M. Trevisani, A. Tuzzi

Chronological analysis of textual data and curve clustering: preliminary results based on wavelets

A. Menafoglio, M. Dalla Rosa, P. Secchi

Prediction of nonstationary functional data: Universal Kriging in a Hilbert Space

- Methods for spatial and network data

P. Secchi, S. Vantini, P. Zanini

Independent Component Analysis of Milan Mobile Network Data

D. Giuliani, S. Cozzi, G. Espa

The analysis of firm demography: an approach based on micro-geographic data

D. De Stefano, S. Zaccarin

Exponential Random Graph Model for multivariate networks: an application in knowledge network analysis

E. Di Bella, L. Leporatti, L. Persico

Lattice Models for the analysis of Urban Crime

- Social indicators

M.F. Arezzo

The Role of Social Capital in Preventing Irregural Work in Italian Regions

G. Boccuzzo, M. Giannecchini

Measuring job quality: a composite indicator

M. Centra, M. Curtarelli, V. Gualtieri

From theory to practice: a methodological proposal for operationalising and summarizing the concept of quality of work

E. Vassallo, F. Giambona

Composite Indicator of Social Inclusion in the European Union

**Statistical methods and applications – II**

P.L. Conti, D. Marella, M. Scanu

Uncertainty in statistical matching for discrete categorical variables

R. Giaimo, G.L. Lo Magno

Dealing With a Potential Bias in Estimating the Share of Discriminated Women

M. Salusti

Metodologies for continuous analisys and classification of the information. SAS in the analytical management of BIGDATA

*Contributed Session*

**Statistics and finance**

F. Bassi, J. G. Dias

Longitudinal patterns of financial product ownership: a latent growth mixture approach

R. Pappada’, F. Durante

Clustering of financial time series in extreme scenarios

M. Brunetti, E. Giarda, C. Torricelli

Is financial fragility a matter of illiquidity? An appraisal for Italian households

M. Restaino, A. Amendola

Variable selection in competing risks model

**Data quality in census and surveys**

A. Valentini, S. Giampaolo

The role of Istat territorial offices for data quality control in the 15th Population and Housing Census. The case of Tuscany

S. Belluomini, S. Carmagnini, L. Faustini, L. Porciani, C. Tessitore

Data gathering for elusive population. The case of foreigners during the XV Italian Census. A focus on Prato

A. Bernardini, L. De Gaetano, M. Mazziotta, L. Soriani

The Coverage Survey of the 6th Agricultural Census

**Time series analysis**

I. L. Amerise, A. Tarsitano

Adjusting Time Series of Possible Unequal Lengths

A. Balzanella, E. Romano

A Clustream strategy for Functional Boxplots on multiple streaming time series

T. Di Fonzo

Reconciliation of Time Series according to a Growth Rates Preservation Principle

F. Giordano, M. Niglio, C. D. Vitale

On the stationarity of the Threshold Autoregressive process: the two regimes case

**Issues in small area inference**

A. Bianchi

Small area estimation for panel data

M. C. Pagliarella, R. Salvatore

The diagnostics of the mean squared error of the Eblup in small area estimation models

M. G. Ranalli, A. Teodoro

Calibration estimation in dual frame surveys

S. Polettini

A Bayesian Semiparametric Fay-Herriot-type model for Small Area Estimation

**Demography: analysis and applications**

O. Paccagnella, C. Garrouste

Early-life circumstances and late-life income

G. Rivellini, A. Rosina, E. Sironi

Marital Disruption and Subjective Well-being: Evidence from an Italian Panel Survey

R. Castellano, G. Punzo, A. Rocca

Intergenerational Mobility and Gender Gap: Evidence from Mediterranean Countries

L. Coppola, D. Quartuccio

Partners income and decision making

**Bayesian analysis**

D. Alunni Fegatelli

Alternative Bayesian analysis of capture recapture data with behavioral effect modelling

M. M. Barbieri, B. Liseo

An Objective Bayesian analysis of dichotomous sensitive data

F. Divino, G. Jona Lasinio, N. Golini

Bayesian model of presence-only data

E. Ruli, L. Ventura

Modern Bayesian Inference in Zero-Inflated Poisson Models

**Estimation methods**

M. Cattelan

Limited Information Estimation Methods for Paired Comparison Data

R. Onorati, L. Augugliaro, A. M. Mineo

A computational method to estimate sparce multiple Gaussian graphical models

E. Ripamonti, P. Quatto

Confidence intervals for the Berger & Boos’ procedure in the 2×2 Binomial Trial

G. Aletti, A. Ghiglietti, A. M. Paganoni

Randomly Reinforced Urn Designs whose Allocation Proportions Converge to Arbitrary Prespecified Values

- Multivariate analysis

M. Bee

A comparison of semiparametric density estimation methods for multivariate risk management

M. B. Ferraro

A prediction error for a linear regression model with fuzzy random elements

R. Guseo, C. Mortarino

Multivariate Nonlinear Least Squares: Direct and Beauchamp and Cornell Methodologies

M. Scagliarini, S. Evangelisti

Assessing Multivariate Measurement Systems in Multisite Testing

**Generalized likelihood methods**

S. Baraldo, F. Ieva, L. Mainardi, A.M. Paganoni

Experimental design for the estimation of Rician-distributed intensity fields in MRI

F. Rotolo, C. Legrand

Frailty Multi-State Models based on Maximum Penalized Partial Likelihood

V. Sambucini, L. Piccinato

Ridge analysis through profile likelihoods

**Testing statistical hypotheses**

M. Gerolimetto, I. Procidano

Bayesian Unit Root Tests: a Monte Carlo Study

D. De Martini, L. De Capitani

Reproducibility Probability Estimation and Testing for some common nonparametric tests

F. Greselin, A. Punzo

Closed Likelihood-Ratio Testing Procedures to Assess Similarity of Covariance Matrices

N. Lunardon, E. Ronchetti

Nonparametric saddlepoint test and pairwise likelihood inference

*Solicited Session*

* *

**Data Mining in Official Statistics**

M. Hudec

Dynamically modelling of fuzzy sets for flexible data retrieval

M. Marino, G. Scepi, C. Tortora

Factor PD-Co-clustering in Ofﬁcial Statistics

A. Stawinoga, M. Spano, N. Triunfo

Extracting meta-information by using Network Analysis tools

S. Bolasco, P. Pavone

How the text mining measures complex phenomena in official statistics

**Rating models for reputation analysis**

D. Checchi, S. Salini

Labour market response models for university evaluation

S. Figini

Bayesian model averaging for financial evaluation

T. Bellini, L. Grossi

A Statistical Framework to Measure Reputation Risk

P. Cerchiello

Ordinal Models for Financial Evaluation

**Data Imputation methods**

A. Piscitelli, A. D’Ambrosio

Assessing assumptions for data fusion procedures

A. Plaia, F. Di Salvo, M. Ruggieri, G. Agro’

Filling in long gap sequences by performing EOF and FDA jointly

A. D’Ambrosio

Missing Data Imputation within the Statistical learning Paradigm

**Graphical models: some recent advances**

M. Lupparelli, L. La Rocca

Binary models of marginal independence: a comparison of different approaches

M. Valtorta, E. S. Allman, J. A. Rhodes

Identifiability of Discrete Graphical Models with Hidden Variables

B. Vantaggi

Identifiability of hierarchical loglinear models with one hidden binary variable

**Circular data analysis**

A. Pewsey

Inverse Batschelet Distributions as Models for Circular Data

C. Agostinelli, M. Romanazzi

Depth Analysis of Directional Data

J. T. Kent, A. M. Ganeiber

Simulation of random rotation matrices

A. Panzera, C. C. Taylor

Nonparametric smoothing of circular data

**New trends in Computers Models and Experiments**

R. Berni, F. M. Stefanini

Bayesian T-optimal designs by simulation: a case-study on model discrimination

R. Fontana, F. Rapallo, M. P. Rogantin

From Markov moves in contingency tables to linear model estimability

J. Fruth, S. Kuhnt

Sensitivity Analysis and FANOVA Graphs for Computer Experiments

**Contribution of Administrative Data to Population and Business Censuses**

S. Hirner

The use of administrative registers in the 2011 Census in Germany

A. Reale, F. Torti, M. Riani

Robust methods for correction and control of Italian Agriculture Census data Solicited

M. Calzaroni, C. Viviano

The industry and services continuous census” based on administrative sources: opportunities and problems

**Item response theory**

F. Aiello, G. Boscaino, M. Mandala’

Do personal characteristics affect the Rasch measures of perceived physical risk? A quantile regression approach.

S. Bacci, F. Bartolucci, B. Bertaccini

Modeling nonignorable missingness in multidimensional latent class IRT models

V. Caviezel, S. Ortobelli Lozza, L. Bertoli Barsotti

Risk profile versus portfolio selection: a case study

**Integrating microeconomic data sources for the analisis of performance of productive system**

G. Dosi, M. Grazzi, F. Tamagni, C. Tomasi

The micro economics of trade patterns and firm performances

F. Cerroni, V. De Giorgi, M. Mantuano

The integration of administrative data to analyse the business economic performance: methodological aspects and results of a study

M. Ferrante, M. Freo, A. Viviani

The post-entry effect of exporting on productivity: inference on the conterfactual distribution

F. Oropallo, S. Rossetti

Data Integration and Productivity Estimation at a Firm Level

**The time of the oldest old**

E. Barbi

Patterns of Mortality Decline and Individual Ageing: An Overview

R. Miglio, P. Gueresi

Survival predictive models in centenarians

G. Cavrini, C. Di Priamo, L. Sicuro, A. Battisti, A. Solicapa, G. De Girolamo

Health status in over 85 years old living in Residential Facilities in Italy

**Survival and prevalence**

S. Galimberti

Multivariate Permutation Test to Compare Survival Curves for Matched Data

L. Ventura

Estimating the incidence of cancer disease using a Bayesian backcalculation approach

A. B. Mariotto, R. De Angelis, L. Martina

Estimating the prevalence of cancer patients who have recurred

S. Francisci, A. Gigli

Patterns of care and related costs of cancer prevalent cases by phase of disease

**Program evaluation: insights from applications in the social and biomedical sciences**

B. Arpino, A. Mattei

Assessing the Impact of Financial Aids to Firms: Causal Inference in the presence of Interference

F. Bartolucci, L. Grilli, L. Pieroni

Inverse probability weighting to estimate causal effects of sequential treatments: a latent class extension to deal with unobserved confounding

E. Pasquali, M. Evans, J. Carrero, R. Bellocco

Application of Marginal Structural Models in Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) Epidemiology: practical implementation in the Swedish National CKD Registry

**Recent advances in Bayesian computation**

R. Casarin, R. Craiu, F. Leisen

Interacting Multiple Try Algorithms

L. Ventura, W. Racugno

Higher-order asymptotics in Bayesian inference

G. S. Datta, A. Mandal, A. Wanjoya

Small Area Estimation with Uncertain Random Effects

**Statistical methods for ordinal data**

L. Grilli, M. Iannario, D. Piccolo, C. Rampichini

Latent Class CUB Models

A. Simonetto

Formative and reflective models to determine latent construct

M. Gallo

Log-ratios analysis to study the relative information of ordinal variables

G. Boari, G. Cantaluppi

A PLS algorithm version working with ordinal variables

**Better integrating geographic information and statistics**

C. Bocci, A. Petrucci, E. Rocco

A two part geoadditive model for geographical domain estimation

J. Gallego, M. El-Aydam

Using coarse resolution satellite images for crop area estimation: benchmarking their efficiency

L. Barabesi, S. Franceschi, M. Marcheselli

How to select sample sites onto a study area?

**Evaluation and quality in the university system**

M. Porcu, I. Sulis

Comparing degree programs using unadjusted performance indicators. Assessing the bias from the Potential Confounding Factors

L. Grilli, C. Rampichini, R. Varriale

University admission test and students’ careers: an analysis through a regression chain graph with a hurdle model for the credits

M. Attanasio, M. Enea

Bivariate logistic models for the analysis of the Students University “Success”

L. Masserini, M. Pratesi

University of Pisa and academic performance: a sample survey on students with no exams in 2011

**Robustness issues in complex data analysis**

M. Riani, A. Cerioli, M.A. Milioli, G. Morelli

A comparison of robust methods with small sample experimental data

C. Agostinelli, R. A. Maronna, V.J. Yohai

Robust estimation for multivariate data under the independent contamination model

P. Coretto

Adaptive robust location-scale estimation

G. Porzio, G. Ragozini, S. Liebscher, T. Kirschstein

Minimum Volume Peeling: a Multivariate Mode Estimator

**Approximate likelihood methods for highly-structured statistical models**

L. Ippoliti, L. Romagnoli

Kalman Filter for Maximum Likelihood Estimation of GMRFs

S. Bianconcini, S. Cagnone, D. Rizopoulos

A Dimension Reduction Method for Approximating Integrals in Latent Variable Models for Binary Data

M. Minozzo, C. Ferrari

Monte Carlo Likelihood Inference in Multivariate Model-Based Geostatistics

A. Davison, S. Padoan, M. Ribatet

Statistical Modelling of Spatial Extremes

**Statistical methods for network data**

A. Petrucci, E. Rocco

Statistical models for virtual water network analysis

D. De Stefano

Graph embedding via dissimilarity mapping for network comparison

V. Amati

New Statistics for Estimating the Parameter of the Stochastic Actor-Oriented Model

A. Abbruzzo, E. Wit

Factorial Graphical Lasso and Slowly Changing Graphical Models for Estimating Dynamic Networks

**Frequency domain analysis**

S. Pollock

Cycles Syllogisms and Semantics: Examining the Idea of Spurious Cycles

Matteo Farne’

Different estimators of the spectral matrix: an empirical comparison. Testing a new shrinkage estimator

M. Donatelli, A. Luati, A. Martinelli

Spectral filtering for trend estimation

**Family demography and well being**

A. Baranowska-Rataj, A. Matysiak

Which family model makes couples more happy – dual earner or male breadwinner ?

S. Montecolle, F. Rinesi, A. Tinto

Family structures and subjective wellbeing in Italy

P. Li Donni, D. Mendola

Socioeconomic determinants of persistence in poor subjective health

*Poster*

M. Guidolin, R. Guseo

Modelling seasonality in innovation diffusion: A regressive approach

C. Giusti, S. Marchetti,M. Pratesi, N. Salvati

M-quantile small area models when auxiliary variables are measured with error

R. Chambers, N. Salvati, N. Tzavidis

M-quantile Regression for Binary Data with Application to Small Area Estimation

F. Bacchini, D. Chianella, R. D. Cinelli, R. Iannaccone, V. Quondamstefano

Quarterly turnover index for new services sectors

S. Da Valle, L. Faustini, C. Tessitore, A. Valentini

Integration between old and new results of the Population and Housing Census in Italy. An information system for Tuscany

E. Di Nardo

k-statistics: from simple random sampling to spectral sampling via moment symbolic calculus.

A. Coli, F. Tartamella

Measuring the impact of the non-observed economy on the households’ income distribution

A. De Rose, A. De Pascale, E. Santarelli

Household types and economic conditions in Europe: evidence from Eu-Silc

D. Ballanti, F. Alivernini, L. Benedetti, A. Cacciamani, M. Mastracci

Analisi delle leve di competizione per il raggiungimento di una performance economica di forte crescita nel comparto manifatturiero

L. Faustini, P. Manfredi , D. Panatto

Computing sexual contact patterns by individual based simulation

E. Fazio

Identification of local tourist systems in sicily by the application of the cluster analysis algorithm with spatially contiguity constraint

C. Brambilla, F. Ruggeri, C. Siu

The hybrid classical-Bayesian approach: some examples related to clinical trials design and monitoring

M. Bencivenga, F. Lagona, A. Maruotti, G. Nardone, M. Picone

Unsupervised classication for the identification of sea regimes

A. Ronconi, S. Giavante, M. Fortini

2011 Population and housing census – Preliminary results: resident population estimates for large municipalities

M. Broccoli, D. De Francesco, D. Fusco, P. Giordano, V. Moretti, F. Mortara

Measuring the multifunctionality in agriculture: a synthetic index construction

D. Bonardo, G. Di Bella, L. Galiè, M. Scalisi, V. Talucci

Combining education and labour market data

M. Brondi, A. Franzò, A. Laureti Palma, M. Masselli, A. Nuccitelli

Using log data to study the effectiveness of a Web questionnaire: the case of the Italian business Research and Development Survey

E. Ambrosetti, R. Cagiano De Azevedo, C. Giudici, F. Mazzarelli, A. Paparusso

Population mobility and multidimensional borders

N. Brouard, E. Ambrosetti, A. Désesquelles, G. Duthé, C. Giudici, J. Larmarange, F. Meslé, Demopedia Team

DEMOPEDIA: an open encyclopedia on demography based on the UN/IUSSP Multilingual Demographic Dictionary

M. Giacalone, G. Avena

Aspetti statistici e ripercussioni economiche dei reati informatici e telematici